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Great Britain vs. Iceland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Great Britain vs Iceland?

Volume:
$246,222

Iceland

 - Kalshi

Iceland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 12:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iceland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,320
N/A
N/A
$63,849
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Great Britain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$116,112
N/A
N/A
$68,854
Settled
No
polymarket

Great Britain vs. Iceland

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$22,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Great Britain and Iceland scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Great Britain winning and Iceland winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The Polymarket version has clear, unambiguous resolution logic and should be used as the reference. Request official guidance from Kalshi support before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: resolves to Great Britain or Iceland based on final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key quote: 'If the Great Britain win, the market will resolve to "Great Britain". If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to "Iceland".' Logic is internally consistent.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution criteria: states both 'If Great Britain wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Iceland wins...resolves to Yes'. In a binary Yes/No market, only one outcome can resolve Yes. Key quote: 'If Great Britain wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Iceland wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable logical state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 5 at 10:00AM ET: If the Great Britain win, the market will resolve to "Great Britain". If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to "Iceland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Iceland vs Great Britain professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks of the original date. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a bookmaker. Instead of a sportsbook margin, prices emerge from supply and demand among traders. This often produces tighter spreads and reflects real-time sentiment shifts more dynamically than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news, while prediction markets aggregate longer-term conviction. Both serve different purposes: sportsbooks for wagering, prediction markets for price discovery and consensus forecasting.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user demographics, which can drive temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also differ in liquidity depth, order-book design, and the speed at which arbitrageurs close spreads. Market microstructure—such as minimum order sizes or withdrawal delays—can create friction that sustains divergence. Savvy traders exploit these gaps, but until capital flows equalize both sides, prices may remain misaligned across venues.

Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent match performance, and head-to-head historical trends. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts. Weather conditions, venue factors, and tactical adjustments announced closer to kickoff can also shift odds. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may influence retail traders, while sharp money typically reacts to hard data like official team news or statistical updates. Monitor sports news outlets and team social channels for real-time developments.