TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner
kalshi

Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner

Volume:
$2,929,359

Denny Hamlin

 - Kalshi

Denny Hamlin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 4:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$369,845
N/A
N/A
$279,411
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$209,669
N/A
N/A
$171,803
Settled
No
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,630
N/A
N/A
$145,946
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$178,926
N/A
N/A
$129,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165,787
N/A
N/A
$151,586
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156,697
N/A
N/A
$127,344
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141,950
N/A
N/A
$137,687
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133,033
N/A
N/A
$125,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132,912
N/A
N/A
$112,054
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129,102
N/A
N/A
$128,727
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,170
N/A
N/A
$119,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112,275
N/A
N/A
$108,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112,018
N/A
N/A
$96,869
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,380
N/A
N/A
$84,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,641
N/A
N/A
$82,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,611
N/A
N/A
$80,359
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,766
N/A
N/A
$71,907
Settled
No
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,122
N/A
N/A
$66,122
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,565
N/A
N/A
$49,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,401
N/A
N/A
$50,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,044
N/A
N/A
$47,044
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,799
N/A
N/A
$45,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,134
N/A
N/A
$38,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,938
N/A
N/A
$22,938
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,050
N/A
N/A
$19,050
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Denny Hamlin will win the Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA, a NASCAR race scheduled for June 15, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Hamlin securing first place in the Main Race stands at 99.0%, with Christopher Bell at 1.0%. The market resolves based on official race results from the 2026 Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA. Watch for the Main Race completion on June 15, 2026, when the winner will be determined and the market will settle.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which driver finishes in first place in the Main Race of the 2026 Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA. Payouts are determined only after final race results have been officially posted by NASCAR; provisional results are not used for market resolution. Each driver listed has a separate market that resolves to Yes if that driver finishes first in the race.

Frequently asked questions

The Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this NASCAR event. You can monitor the current implied probability of each potential race winner, review 24-hour trading volume of $2,350,667, and observe how market sentiment shifts as race day approaches. The dashboard displays cumulative trading activity and lets you compare how different outcomes are priced relative to one another, giving you a live snapshot of what prediction market participants expect.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker margins and risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect their book; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner, you may see prediction market prices lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts more informed participants. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the race.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability that each driver wins the race. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% implied probability. As new information emerges—weather forecasts, practice results, or driver news—the market price adjusts continuously. The current market price for the leading outcome reflects the collective expectation of all active traders on the platform.

The Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official race result—specifically, which driver crosses the finish line first in the NASCAR event. Once the race concludes and the official winner is confirmed, the market settles and traders' positions are finalized based on the outcome. Any market tied to a specific driver will resolve based on whether that driver achieved the winning position.

Several factors could shift odds for the Great American Getaway 400 presented by VISITPA Winner before race day. Driver injuries, team changes, or mechanical failures announced in the lead-up will trigger repricing. Weather forecasts closer to the event date—rain, wind, or temperature swings—affect vehicle performance and strategy. Practice session results and qualifying rounds provide real data on car speed and handling. Breaking news about fuel strategy, pit crew adjustments, or track conditions will move the market as traders incorporate new information into their pricing.