TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Grasshopper and Lugano, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Grasshopper vs Lugano Swiss Super League match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Grasshopper winning by more than 2.5 goals, Grasshopper winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lugano winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Lugano winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Each rule defines a specific threshold for goal-differential victory, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for the rule corresponding to the actual match result. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and upcoming events compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their spreads based on historical data and broader public betting trends, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can shift more quickly with new information or changing conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will settle based on that official result.