TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Grand Prix of Nashville Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Grand Prix of Nashville?

Volume:
$643,552

Alex Palou

 - Kalshi

Alex Palou - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130,076
N/A
N/A
$76,135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,398
N/A
N/A
$72,883
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104,149
N/A
N/A
$67,407
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,568
N/A
N/A
$48,282
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,324
N/A
N/A
$37,339
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,404
N/A
N/A
$20,862
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,926
N/A
N/A
$18,725
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,559
N/A
N/A
$17,264
Settled
No
kalshi

Rinus Veekay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,703
N/A
N/A
$16,596
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,102
N/A
N/A
$14,306
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Rossi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,666
N/A
N/A
$11,665
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Power

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,972
N/A
N/A
$10,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,910
N/A
N/A
$9,384
Settled
No
kalshi

Mick Schumacher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,703
N/A
N/A
$9,703
Settled
No
kalshi

Dennis Hauger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,662
N/A
N/A
$8,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,256
N/A
N/A
$6,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,160
N/A
N/A
$4,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Santino Ferrucci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,128
N/A
N/A
$5,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armstrong

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,304
N/A
N/A
$4,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Louis Foster

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,515
N/A
N/A
$4,365
Settled
No
kalshi

Caio Collet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,483
N/A
N/A
$4,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Sting Ray Robb

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,657
N/A
N/A
$2,657
Settled
No
kalshi

Nolan Siegel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,821
N/A
N/A
$1,821
Settled
No
kalshi

Graham Rahal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,780
N/A
N/A
$1,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Romain Grosjean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$1,324
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks which driver will win the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, an IndyCar event held in Nashville. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Alex Palou finishing first—carries a probability of 99.0%. Resolution is based on final official results posted by IndyCar, not provisional standings. Watch for the Main Race results on July 20, 2026, when IndyCar posts the official finishing order.

Kalshi

If Caio Collet finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dennis Hauger finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Ericsson finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Dixon finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josef Newgarden finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Power finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Graham Rahal finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Romain Grosjean finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santino Ferrucci finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pato O’Ward finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rinus Veekay finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Malukas finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott McLaughlin finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mick Schumacher finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Palou finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Kirkwood finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Rossi finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sting Ray Robb finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Lundgaard finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Rasmussen finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyffin Simpson finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nolan Siegel finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armstrong finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Foster finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Nashville, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Nashville Grand Prix winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction market. The interface displays current implied probabilities for each driver contending to win the race, along with 24-hour trading volume of $542,349 and total volume of $643,552. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment as race day approaches, compare their own forecasts against market consensus, and execute positions based on live price discovery. The dashboard updates continuously as new information emerges and participants adjust their positions.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders betting real money on the Nashville Grand Prix outcome may price in nuanced driver form, team strategy, and weather data faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from informed trader positioning, though both ultimately converge as the race date approaches and new information surfaces.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers on each driver outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any driver contract reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that outcome; a contract trading at 0.65 implies roughly a 65% chance of that driver winning. As new race information emerges—practice results, qualifying sessions, or weather forecasts—traders adjust their positions, moving prices to reflect updated expectations. This real-time repricing ensures the market stays efficient and responsive to changing conditions.

This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the Nashville Grand Prix concludes and the winner is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified results from credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding contracts on the correct driver receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic once the race result is finalized and confirmed, ensuring all participants receive timely settlement.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 20, 2026. Driver performance in practice sessions and qualifying rounds often triggers sharp repricing as traders gain concrete data on relative speed. Announcements regarding vehicle setup changes, driver injuries, or team strategy adjustments can also move prices significantly. Weather forecasts closer to race day influence trader positioning, as rain or extreme heat affects tire strategy and overtaking difficulty. Pit-crew changes, fuel-strategy leaks, or competitor mechanical failures reported in the lead-up can spark rapid trading activity. Real-time telemetry and commentary during the race itself will drive final price movements as the outcome becomes clearer.