TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grand Prix of Monterey Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Grand Prix of Monterey?

Volume:
$235,572

Scott McLaughlin

 - Kalshi

Scott McLaughlin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 9:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,159
N/A
N/A
$24,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,020
N/A
N/A
$31,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,687
N/A
N/A
$22,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,294
N/A
N/A
$17,698
Settled
No
kalshi

Santino Ferrucci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,111
N/A
N/A
$13,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Power

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,234
N/A
N/A
$12,234
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,824
N/A
N/A
$11,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,546
N/A
N/A
$11,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,112
N/A
N/A
$9,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,195
N/A
N/A
$8,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Rossi

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,839
N/A
N/A
$8,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Mick Schumacher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,408
N/A
N/A
$7,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,845
N/A
N/A
$5,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,355
N/A
N/A
$2,355
Settled
No
kalshi

Rinus Veekay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,098
N/A
N/A
$3,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
$2,072
Settled
No
kalshi

Romain Grosjean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,637
N/A
N/A
$1,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Graham Rahal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,565
N/A
N/A
$1,565
Settled
No
kalshi

Sting Ray Robb

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
$1,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Caio Collet

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armstrong

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$521
N/A
N/A
$521
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
No
kalshi

Nolan Siegel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Dennis Hauger

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Louis Foster

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

The event determines which driver claims the top position in a major car race scheduled for a specific date. Participants compete under equal conditions, with outcomes decided solely by performance during the race. Results are confirmed only after official race conclusions are announced.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named driver finishes first in the main race at the 2026 Grand Prix of Monterey on or around September 6, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or fails to finish, the market resolves as No. The race must either start within 48 hours of its scheduled time or be canceled; in the latter case, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official IndyCar results are the sole basis for resolution, with no consideration given to provisional or interim standings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Grand Prix of Monterey tracks the current odds for each driver to win, the total volume traded on the market, and a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour volume, which indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently. Currently, the volume is $191,824 and the total volume for this market is $235,572. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting as the race approaches.

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a driver has a better or worse chance than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the event. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different drivers winning the Grand Prix of Monterey, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that driver winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of each driver’s chances. The market’s price discovery process allows for a fluid and responsive valuation based on collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Grand Prix of Monterey are verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who is declared the winner by the official race organizers will determine the outcome of this market. Any protests or appeals following the race will be considered if they impact the official result. The resolution will be based on the official, final standings published by the governing body of the race.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding driver health, car performance during practice sessions, or changes to weather conditions will likely cause price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or mechanical issues could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major incidents during qualifying rounds, such as crashes or penalties, can dramatically alter the perceived chances of different drivers. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold, as they will all impact the probabilities reflected in this market.