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406,422

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Grand Prix of Madison: Top 3 Finishers
kalshi

Grand Prix of Madison: Top 3 Finishers

Volume:
$18,291

Josef Newgarden

 - Kalshi

Josef Newgarden - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$1,633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
$418
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,243
N/A
N/A
$7,196
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
$1,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,386
N/A
N/A
$912
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,352
N/A
N/A
$1,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Caio Collet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Rossi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Power

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$441
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armstrong

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
No
kalshi

Santino Ferrucci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$136
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
$126
Settled
No
kalshi

Dennis Hauger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Graham Rahal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Romain Grosjean

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rinus Veekay

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mick Schumacher

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sting Ray Robb

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nolan Siegel

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Louis Foster

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

Professional racing drivers compete in the Main Event at the 2026 Grand Prix of Madison. The event determines which drivers achieve a top-3 finish in this IndyCar race.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and may incorporate different risk models. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where the prediction market is pricing drivers differently, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus shifts. Both venues serve different trader bases and update at different cadences.

On Kalshi, Grand Prix of Madison: Top 3 Finishers contracts are priced as binary yes/no outcomes for each driver's top-three finish probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the crowd's estimated probability of that driver finishing in the top three. Kalshi's continuous order book allows real-time price discovery as new information emerges. Each driver's contract trades independently, and prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand from the trading community.

The Grand Prix of Madison: Top 3 Finishers market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, following the conclusion of the race. Resolution is determined by the official final finishing order published by IndyCar, which identifies the three drivers who cross the finish line in first, second, and third positions. Each driver contract resolves based on whether that specific driver achieved a top-three finish in the official results. Trades cease at market close, and payouts are distributed according to the final outcome.

Several factors can shift odds before the Grand Prix of Madison: driver injuries or illness, team performance updates, qualifying results, weather forecasts, and mechanical issues during practice sessions. Changes in fuel strategy, tire allocation, or track conditions closer to race day often trigger repricing. Major news about driver transfers, team changes, or car setup breakthroughs can also move markets. As Jun 8, 2026 approaches, real-time qualifying and practice data typically become the strongest price drivers, with final adjustments occurring in the hours before the race begins.