TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grand Prix of Hungary Winner
kalshi

Grand Prix of Hungary Winner

Volume:
$26,997

Marc Marquez

 - Kalshi

Marc Marquez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 12:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marc Marquez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,799
N/A
N/A
$6,029
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pedro Acosta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,196
N/A
N/A
$2,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Fermin Aldeguer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,411
N/A
N/A
$2,044
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Bezzecchi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,353
N/A
N/A
$1,901
Settled
No
kalshi

Raul Fernandez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,129
N/A
N/A
$1,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabio Di Giannantonio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,070
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
No
kalshi

Jorge Martin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
$813
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Morbidelli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
No
kalshi

Francesco Bagnaia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
$635
Settled
No
kalshi

Enea Bastianini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
$622
Settled
No
kalshi

Diogo Moreira

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$599
Settled
No
kalshi

Ai Ogura

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$586
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabio Quartararo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
kalshi

Luca Marini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Joan Mir

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Toprak Razgatlioglu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Cal Crutchlow

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Maverick Vinales

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Jack Miller

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Binder

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Rins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

A motorcycle racing competition will take place at the 2026 Grand Prix of Hungary. The market tracks which rider wins the main event race.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in margin, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For the Grand Prix of Hungary Winner, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on driver chances. These differences may highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both venues ultimately reflect uncertainty about race conditions, driver form, and team strategy on race day.

The Grand Prix of Hungary Winner market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, which corresponds to the scheduled end of the race at the Hungaroring circuit. The outcome is determined by the official FIA classification at the conclusion of the Grand Prix. Only the driver who crosses the finish line first and is confirmed in the final race results will be credited as the winner. Any post-race penalties, disqualifications, or appeals that affect the final classification will be reflected in the market resolution. Traders should monitor official race communications and FIA announcements for any developments that could alter the final result.

Several key events will influence Grand Prix of Hungary Winner odds before the race. Practice session performance and qualifying results are major catalysts, as they reveal relative car pace and driver confidence at the Hungaroring. Weather forecasts, particularly rain predictions, can shift probabilities significantly since wet conditions favor certain drivers and teams. Team strategy announcements, driver interviews, and any mechanical issues or accidents during practice will also move prices. On race day, the starting grid, early-lap incidents, pit-stop timing, and real-time performance gaps will drive continuous repricing as traders update their expectations based on unfolding events.