TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the margin of victory in the same Europa League match, focusing on whether either team wins by a specific goal difference. The result hinges on the difference in goals scored between Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi during regulation time, excluding extra time and penalties.
This event evaluates whether Gornik Zabrze or Ferencvarosi wins the Europa League match by a margin exceeding specified goal differences during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time and penalties. The markets cover four scenarios: Gornik Zabrze winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gornik Zabrze winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ferencvarosi winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual goal difference meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each market represents an independent outcome based on the precise victory margin.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook that incorporates a broader range of inputs, including trader sentiment and real-time data analysis. While sportsbooks may rely on a single adjusted line, this market allows for a decentralized view that can diverge based on how active participants interpret upcoming match dynamics and team form.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market by buying and selling contracts based on their expectations for the regulation time spread. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, with the chance percentage indicating the likelihood as priced by the market. Volume of $2,796 shows the level of interest and activity around the event.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and the margin of victory after regulation time, with no extra time or penalty shootout outcomes considered for this specific market.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategy, and recent performance metrics are all signals that could shift this market closer to resolution. As the match date approaches, any last-minute news affecting team lineups or momentum may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds and volume leading up to Aug 13, 2026.