TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major in 2026
kalshi

Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major in 2026

Volume:
$1,004,344

Wyndham Clark

 - Kalshi

Wyndham Clark - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 8:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,463
N/A
N/A
$11,201
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Fox

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,329
N/A
N/A
$3,230
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$234,968
N/A
N/A
$75,936
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99,545
N/A
N/A
$52,832
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$56,288
N/A
N/A
$28,009
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,786
N/A
N/A
$10,543
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,481
N/A
N/A
$24,026
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Jon Rahm

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,585
N/A
N/A
$12,023
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,026
N/A
N/A
$16,901
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,077
N/A
N/A
$19,852
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,705
N/A
N/A
$12,315
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,518
N/A
N/A
$16,900
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,464
N/A
N/A
$18,013
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,900
N/A
N/A
$17,451
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,452
N/A
N/A
$12,136
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,937
N/A
N/A
$15,648
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,453
N/A
N/A
$13,656
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Jordan Spieth

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,961
N/A
N/A
$14,981
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Russell Henley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,398
N/A
N/A
$10,099
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,035
N/A
N/A
$12,876
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Cameron Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,384
N/A
N/A
$9,142
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,837
N/A
N/A
$5,531
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,968
N/A
N/A
$7,148
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Will Zalatoris

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,422
N/A
N/A
$3,241
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Justin Thomas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,332
N/A
N/A
$4,216
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 25 of 53

Intro

This market tracks whether Marco Penge will win at least one of golf's four major tournaments—The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, or The Open Championship—during 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 48.0%, while an alternative outcome holds 19.0%. Resolution is determined by official PGA Tour records identifying the winners of these four majors. Watch for Marco Penge's performance across all four major championships throughout 2026, with the betting period closing on December 31, 2026.

Kalshi

Each market outcome corresponds to a specific golfer. If that golfer wins any of the four major golf tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, or The Open Championship) during 2026, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. A golfer needs only to win one major championship to trigger a Yes resolution for their market. All outcomes are mutually exclusive—only one golfer can win a given major in a given year, though multiple markets may resolve Yes if different golfers win different majors throughout 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which golfer will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026. It displays the current implied probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and $47,210 in trades over the last 24 hours. The market has accumulated $948,056 in total volume, reflecting sustained trader interest in major championship outcomes. You can monitor how odds shift as tournaments approach, player form changes, and injury updates emerge throughout the year.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-money trader consensus rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For major championship outcomes, prediction markets may price in longer-term form trends and field depth differently than sportsbooks, which focus on near-term betting volume. Comparing the two venues can reveal where public perception and trader conviction differ most.

The market resolves on Dec 31, 2026, after all PGA Tour Majors in 2026 have concluded. Resolution is determined by which golfer wins one of the four major championships during that calendar year: the Masters Tournament, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. The outcome is settled based on official PGA Tour records and the winner's name as recognized by the governing bodies of each event.

Major catalysts include tournament results and leaderboard finishes at 2026 majors, which directly test contenders' form and mental resilience. Player injuries, surgeries, or comebacks reshape odds significantly. Equipment changes, swing adjustments, and coaching transitions can alter perceived ability. Course conditions and weather patterns at each major venue influence odds for specific golfers. Retirement announcements or unexpected withdrawals remove competitors from contention. Media narratives around momentum, age, and historical performance also sway trader sentiment. Each major championship will be a critical repricing event.