TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Golden State vs Las Vegas
kalshi

Golden State vs Las Vegas

Volume:
$633,791

Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 5:25 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$435,212
N/A
N/A
$268,452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92,562
N/A
N/A
$43,339
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 5.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,452
N/A
N/A
$14,698
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,391
N/A
N/A
$10,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 11.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,896
N/A
N/A
$10,290
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 15.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,255
N/A
N/A
$6,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,021
N/A
N/A
$3,446
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Las Vegas defeats Golden State by more than 11.5 points in their women's professional basketball matchup. Las Vegas winning by over 3.5 points currently stands at 99.0%, while Las Vegas winning by over 7.5 points is at 1.0%. The market resolves according to the official final score from the game scheduled for June 6, 2026. Watch the teams' roster health and recent form leading up to the June 6 game date to assess whether the expected margin holds.

Frequently asked questions

The Golden State vs Las Vegas dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this matchup. You can monitor the current probability of key outcomes, including whether Las Vegas wins by over 11.5 points. The interface displays live price movements, historical odds trends, and 24-hour trading volume to help you understand market sentiment. This single-venue view gives you direct insight into how prediction market participants are pricing this event as it approaches resolution.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a broader, decentralized crowd rather than professional oddsmakers managing liability. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on continuous participant trading. For Golden State vs Las Vegas, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the crowd sees edge or disagreement. These differences highlight how diverse pricing mechanisms produce distinct market signals.

On Kalshi, Golden State vs Las Vegas is priced through binary contracts on specific outcomes, such as whether Las Vegas wins by over 11.5 points. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% probability increment. The current market reflects participant conviction about the final margin. As new information emerges—injuries, recent form, betting action—the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any moment before the market resolves.

The Golden State vs Las Vegas market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the game. The specific outcome tracked—such as whether Las Vegas wins by over 11.5 points—will be settled based on the margin of victory as recorded by the league. Once the game concludes and the final score is confirmed, the market automatically resolves to either yes or no, and trader positions are settled accordingly.

Key catalysts for Golden State vs Las Vegas include player injuries or roster changes, recent team performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and betting market action from sharp bettors. Lineup announcements closer to game day often trigger significant price shifts. Public sentiment, media narratives, and late-breaking news about team form can also influence odds. Trading volume spikes typically accompany major developments, so monitoring activity on Kalshi helps you spot when new information is reshaping market expectations for this matchup.