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399,592

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2,622

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Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Toronto Tempo?

Volume:
$1,153,893

Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo

 - Polymarket

Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$378,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 156.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$261,062
N/A
N/A
$94,671
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$72,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 165.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141,076
N/A
N/A
$86,461
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 159.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$108,263
N/A
N/A
$43,932
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 162.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,219
N/A
N/A
$38,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 168.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,443
N/A
N/A
$25,085
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 168.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 180.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,411
N/A
N/A
$11,355
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,241
N/A
N/A
$7,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 174.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,404
N/A
N/A
$6,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 177.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,488
N/A
N/A
$4,639
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 166.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 167.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market tracks whether Marina Mabrey will record more or fewer than 3.5 assists in the Golden State Valkyries versus Toronto Tempo matchup. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the over/under 3.5 assists outcome, with final resolution sourced from WNBA.com scores. Watch the game on July 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET for the official assist total that will settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi settle on different metrics for the same game: Polymarket on winner identity, Kalshi on combined point total. Both reference the same July 8, 2026 game, but require independent data collection and resolution workflows.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate prediction markets with correlated but distinct outcomes. Winning team does not determine point total outcome. Model team pace, defensive profiles, and bench rotations separately for Kalshi; focus on win probability and matchup strength for Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner resolution. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: WNBA official scores.
  • Kalshi: Eight separate over/under markets on combined team points at thresholds 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, and 180.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold, No otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The Golden State vs Toronto women's professional basketball game scheduled for July 8, 2026 will resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams. Resolution occurs when the total combined score exceeds specific thresholds: 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, or 180.5 points. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, allowing bettors to wager on whether the game will exceed their chosen point total. The final official score as recorded by the league will determine resolution, with any score above the specified threshold resolving to Yes and any score at or below resolving to No.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price sports events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets let traders freely set prices through supply and demand. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, less-biased probability estimates because traders risk real capital and face no house edge. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports due to dedicated risk management teams. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal mispricings, though prediction market liquidity may be lower, affecting execution certainty.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring those can provide early signals. Player trades, coaching changes, or public statements from team leadership may also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert commentary can influence retail participation. As the event date approaches, late-breaking news—such as last-minute lineup adjustments—typically triggers sharp repricing. Volume spikes often accompany these moves, reflecting increased conviction or hedging activity.