TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams compete in a critical League of Legends match where each map's outcome can shift the game's momentum. The result depends on which team secures victory on the third map, influencing their overall tournament prospects.
The market resolves to Yes if either Golden Lions or KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins map 3 of their scheduled match on Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those found here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time view of expectations. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand, distinct from fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official outcome of Map 3 in the Golden Lions vs. KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas CS2 match. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event and available information as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even potential roster changes could all shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also impact expectations for Map 3. Any significant updates related to the tournament itself, such as venue conditions or rule adjustments, could also play a role. Monitoring news sources, social media, and expert analysis can provide insights into potential catalysts that might move this market before Sep 29, 2026.