TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Golden Knights vs. Canucks
Volume:
$702,020
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 7, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET, the Vegas Golden Knights face the Vancouver Canucks in an NHL matchup. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes moneyline (winner) and multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different goal-scoring thresholds for their over/under markets. Kalshi offers markets at 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals, while Polymarket offers markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals, creating non-overlapping settlement points and different risk profiles for bettors.Hero Tip:
If you trade the same threshold on both platforms (e.g., O/U 5.5), outcomes will align. However, Kalshi's additional markets at 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, and 9.5 have no Polymarket equivalent, so arbitrage or hedging across these thresholds is impossible. Additionally, Kalshi's moneyline market (Golden Knights vs. Canucks winner) has no direct Polymarket equivalent, though Polymarket does offer a head-to-head winner market with identical resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets at 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 combined goals. Each market resolves YES if the threshold is exceeded. Kalshi also offers a moneyline market (winner) and a spread market (Golden Knights -1.5). Key quote: 'If over 2.5 total combined goals are scored in the Vegas vs Vancouver professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four over/under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 combined goals, plus a moneyline market (Golden Knights vs. Canucks winner) and a spread market (Golden Knights -1.5). Polymarket's O/U markets resolve Over if the combined total meets or exceeds the threshold plus one (e.g., 5 or more for O/U 4.5). Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Golden Knights and Canucks combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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