TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 3:21 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Goiás EC and SC Recife, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Goiás EC" if Goiás EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Goiás EC and SC Recife, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Goiás EC" if Goiás EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On Polymarket, prices adjust continuously as new information emerges and traders update their views on the outcome. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds with built-in profit margins and may move more slowly. For this matchup, comparing the prediction market consensus to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives an edge the other has missed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of shares rises as demand increases, naturally pushing prices toward equilibrium. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team scores first, and the market price at any moment reflects the collective belief of all active participants. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed, the market settles automatically, and traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout. No ambiguity exists in identifying the first goal scorer, making this a straightforward binary resolution.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive changes that affect scoring likelihood. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff can shift odds significantly if either side is weakened. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and referee assignments may subtly affect play style. As the match date approaches, any official updates from either club or credible media reports about team readiness will likely trigger repricing on this market.