TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market concerns whether both Goias and Sport Recife will each score at least one goal during only the first half of their Brasileiro Serie B match on July 22, 2026. Own goals are credited to the team that was awarded the goal.
If Goias and Sport Recife both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Goias vs Sport Recife Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a commission and adjust lines to balance action, while prediction markets aggregate live belief through continuous trading. For first-half BTTS outcomes, prediction markets may react faster to team news or lineup changes, sometimes offering sharper pricing than conventional sports betting venues, though both venues ultimately converge toward the true probability as match time nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between current buy and sell interest. As new information emerges—such as confirmed lineups or injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down to reflect changing expectations about whether both sides will find the net in the first half.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the first half of the Goias vs Sport Recife match concludes. The outcome is determined by whether both teams have scored at least one goal each during those 45 minutes, verified against credible public sources including official match records and reputable sports data providers. No goals, one goal, or both goals will be confirmed through standard match reporting channels available immediately after the half ends.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form trends for both sides. Early-match momentum—such as an opening goal in the first few minutes—will shift odds sharply, as traders reassess the likelihood of the trailing team equalizing before halftime. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any last-minute tactical changes can also influence trader positioning. Live scoring updates during the match itself will drive the most dramatic price swings as the outcome becomes increasingly certain or uncertain.