TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in a soccer match between Goias and Londrina. The outcome hinges on which team wins and by how many goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other.
The event evaluates whether Goias or Londrina wins the match by more than a specified goal margin in the Goias vs Londrina professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Aug 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets concern Goias winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while the latter two markets concern Londrina winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the specified condition is met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Secondary rules note Kalshi's lack of affiliation with the governing league and the ownership of trademarks by respective parties.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market reflect the collective wisdom of participating traders, who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the Goias vs Londrina spread. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate different data sources or risk models. Over time, shifts in trading volume or major news may cause prediction market prices to move toward or away from sportsbook benchmarks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set bids and asks that determine the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The platform aggregates these orders to generate a continuously updated price, with liquidity indicated by volume of $40,810. Traders can buy or sell contracts at prevailing market rates, driving the price toward what the crowd believes is the most likely result based on available data.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and confirmed scores from recognized sports authorities, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Key signals such as player injuries, weather conditions, recent team performance trends, and tactical changes by coaches could all shift expectations and move this market. High-impact moments like early goals or red cards in the actual match may also cause rapid price adjustments, as traders react to new information that alters the perceived likelihood of different spread outcomes.