TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$225,546,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,867,230,198
490,493
Markets across
36,414
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,838
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 15d:20h:03m
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This market tracks the likelihood of “Godzilla Minus Zero” receiving a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score above 60%. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 99.0% probability of this outcome. This prediction market utilizes the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as its resolution source, specifically whether the score exceeds 60% by November 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Market participants should watch the film’s initial critical reviews following its wider release to gauge whether this high expectation holds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Godzilla Minus Zero is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on November 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
All markets resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for Godzilla Minus Zero as published on November 9, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold; if the score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. For example, a score of 78 would resolve as Yes for thresholds of 75 and below, but No for thresholds of 80 and above. The determination occurs the Monday following the film's wide release. These markets are independent of any endorsement by Rotten Tomatoes, which is referenced only descriptively.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on subjective assessments and studio marketing, this market reflects the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to a more nuanced and potentially more accurate forecast, especially as new information becomes available. Currently, the implied probability from this market may differ from initial critical predictions, offering a valuable signal for those following the film’s reception. The volume of $536,315 suggests significant interest in this comparison.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Godzilla Minus Zero score market can diverge due to several factors. Different trader bases, varying liquidity, and distinct market-making strategies contribute to these discrepancies. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of available information. Furthermore, the volume on each platform – $536,315 overall – isn’t evenly distributed, which can impact price discovery. These differences are normal in decentralized prediction markets and reflect the dynamic nature of information aggregation.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Rotten Tomatoes score for Godzilla Minus Zero will be the determining factor. The score will be sourced from the official Rotten Tomatoes website and will represent the percentage of critics who gave the film a positive review. Traders should monitor the film’s release and critical reception leading up to the resolution date to assess potential shifts in the market. A volume of $536,315 indicates strong trader interest in this outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early critic reviews, particularly those from influential publications, will be a major driver of price movement. Positive buzz on social media and strong word-of-mouth could also increase confidence in a higher Rotten Tomatoes score. Conversely, negative early reactions or controversies surrounding the film could push prices down. The 24-hour volume of $2,945 shows traders are actively responding to new information. Any major marketing campaigns or shifts in public perception will likely be reflected in the trading activity of this market.