TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning or the game ending in a draw, all determined within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen.
The event covers a professional Eredivisie soccer match between GA Eagles and Groningen scheduled for September 12, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: GA Eagles win, Groningen win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions directly. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from expert analysis. While sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission, prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs, impacting the implied probabilities. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of this market.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Eagles-Groningen match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed probabilities. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of these prediction markets.