TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 5:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between GNK Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "GNK Dinamo Zagreb" if GNK Dinamo Zagreb score more goals than FC Thun in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if GNK Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun score more goals than GNK Dinamo Zagreb in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between GNK Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "GNK Dinamo Zagreb" if GNK Dinamo Zagreb score more goals than FC Thun in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if GNK Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Thun" if FC Thun score more goals than GNK Dinamo Zagreb in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, prediction market participants may price second-half outcomes differently than traditional bookmakers, especially if they incorporate real-time match momentum or specialized tactical analysis. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different second-half outcomes. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders, with prices ranging from near zero to near one. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price accuracy, while lower volume can create wider bid-ask gaps and slower price responsiveness.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded during the second half of the Dinamo Zagreb versus Thun fixture. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends, pending confirmation from official match data. Traders should monitor the event schedule to ensure they close or adjust positions before the resolution window closes.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers significant repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; a strong opening half by either side typically influences second-half outcome expectations. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form streaks can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, real-time match events like early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments during the first half will likely prompt rapid price adjustments as traders update their second-half forecasts.