TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 7:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the final daily price of Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New) is strictly greater than $1,200.00 for July 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Steam Community Market page for Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New): https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/G180420AA0B3004?category_Weapon=weapon_glock&category_Exterior=WearCategory0&appid=730 For the purposes of this market, the Steam Community Market page must be viewed using the following settings: Logged out of any Steam account.Median Sale Prices chart set to Year view.Accessed from a United States IP address.Item variant set to Factory New. The resolution price will be the daily data point shown for July 24, 2026, on the Median Sale Prices chart once that data point is no longer being updated. Prices displayed in any currency other than USD ($), or converted into USD by any external method, will not be used for resolution. If the Steam Community Market page or the Median Sale Prices chart is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, this market will resolve to "NO." If no chart point for July 24, 2026, is displayed by July 27, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the last available final daily price before July 24, 2026, will be used. If Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New) is delisted from the Steam Community Market before the end of July 24, 2026, UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the final daily price of Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New) is strictly greater than $1,200.00 for July 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Steam Community Market page for Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New): https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/G180420AA0B3004?category_Weapon=weapon_glock&category_Exterior=WearCategory0&appid=730 For the purposes of this market, the Steam Community Market page must be viewed using the following settings: Logged out of any Steam account.Median Sale Prices chart set to Year view.Accessed from a United States IP address.Item variant set to Factory New. The resolution price will be the daily data point shown for July 24, 2026, on the Median Sale Prices chart once that data point is no longer being updated. Prices displayed in any currency other than USD ($), or converted into USD by any external method, will not be used for resolution. If the Steam Community Market page or the Median Sale Prices chart is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, this market will resolve to "NO." If no chart point for July 24, 2026, is displayed by July 27, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the last available final daily price before July 24, 2026, will be used. If Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Factory New) is delisted from the Steam Community Market before the end of July 24, 2026, UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds differ fundamentally from traditional sportsbook odds in structure and purpose. While sportsbooks set fixed lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, prediction markets allow traders to continuously buy and sell shares, with prices reflecting real-time consensus. This market operates as a discovery mechanism where participants stake capital on their beliefs, creating dynamic odds that often respond faster to new information than static sportsbook lines. The outcome here depends on verifiable market data rather than game results.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for YES or NO shares. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last matched order—and moves as new buy and sell orders arrive. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the item will exceed $1,200, with payouts determined by their entry and exit prices. This continuous pricing model ensures the market remains responsive to emerging information.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the Glock-18 Ghost Protocol trades above $1,200 on that date. Traders holding YES shares receive full payout if the threshold is exceeded; NO holders profit if it remains at or below that level. Resolution timing may extend slightly beyond the stated date to allow for final data verification.
Several factors could shift this market's price before resolution. Major in-game updates, balance changes, or cosmetic rarity shifts can influence item demand and trading volume. Seasonal events, new skin releases, or shifts in player interest may also impact the item's perceived value. Real-world trading platform activity, changes in item supply, or shifts in collector sentiment represent additional catalysts. Traders monitor community forums, patch notes, and marketplace trends to anticipate price movements and adjust positions accordingly.