TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Global Esports and MIBR LOS compete in Map 2 of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 3, 2026. The map winner will be determined by standard competitive Valorant rules where a team must win the required number of rounds to secure victory on that specific map.
Map 2 resolution is determined by which team wins the map in the scheduled Esports World Cup 2026 Valorant match between Global Esports and MIBR LOS on July 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. Either Global Esports or MIBR LOS will win the map based on standard competitive play, with the winning team determining the market outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to consensus sportsbook lines can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders align on the likely outcome of Map 2.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the last executed trade price and the depth of pending orders on both sides. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts, and prices move to equilibrate supply and demand for exposure to the Map 2 result.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Map 2 result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result and any relevant broadcast or tournament records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or analysis emerge.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, recent map performance data, player form or injury updates, and pre-match analysis from esports commentators. Tournament bracket positioning, historical head-to-head records on this specific map, and live in-game momentum during Map 2 itself will all influence trader positioning. Major upsets or dominant performances by either team could trigger sharp repricing as new information flows into the market.