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402,751

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2,632

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Glasgow Rangers vs. Celtic Glasgow - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Glasgow Rangers vs. Celtic Glasgow?

Volume:
$152,886

Celtic

 - Kalshi

Celtic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Celtic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,355
N/A
N/A
$54,196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Johnstone

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,681
N/A
N/A
$21,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,851
N/A
N/A
$16,989
Settled
No
polymarket

Glasgow Rangers

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Celtic Glasgow

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Glasgow Rangers and Celtic Glasgow. The markets consider regular time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. The event is scheduled for September 13, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi is resolving on a completely different match (St. Johnstone vs. Celtic) than the one described in the group name and Polymarket's market (Glasgow Rangers vs. Celtic).Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is for a different game and will resolve incorrectly for this event group. Focus exclusively on the Polymarket markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: This market will resolve to Glasgow Rangers or Celtic Glasgow if they are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores, it resolves to 'Neither'. The game must be completed for resolution; cancellation results in 'Neither'.
  • Kalshi: If St. Johnstone wins, or Celtic wins, or the game is a tie, the market resolves to 'Yes'. This refers to the St. Johnstone vs Celtic game on September 9, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Glasgow Rangers and Celtic Glasgow, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Glasgow Rangers" if Glasgow Rangers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Celtic Glasgow" if Celtic Glasgow are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the St. Johnstone vs Celtic professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: St. Johnstone victory, Celtic victory, or a tied result. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can incorporate information not readily available to sportsbook analysts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to news regarding player injuries or tactical changes, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. This dynamic makes prediction markets valuable for informed forecasting.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, differing levels of information access and interpretation among traders on each platform can lead to divergent opinions. Volume differences also play a role; a larger volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially a more accurate price. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event – the Old Firm first goal market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Glasgow Rangers or Celtic Glasgow would likely cause price movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also shift probabilities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment or large trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate new information or a change in market conviction, driving price fluctuations in this market.