TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Valorant teams, Glacial Guardians and RIZON, compete in a best-of series. The first market focuses on whether Glacial Guardians will secure victory on the second map of their match scheduled for September 9, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated map in the scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the outcome depends on the official result declared by the tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Glacial Guardians vs. RIZON match. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Glacial Guardians vs. RIZON match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or analyst predictions, might influence trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements in this market.