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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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5

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GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow
polymarket
kalshi

GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow

Volume:
$148,555

Wieczysta Krakow

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wieczysta Krakow

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,231
N/A
N/A
$42,207
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wieczysta Krakow

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

GKS Piast Gliwice

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gliwice

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,299
N/A
N/A
$15,293
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,849
N/A
N/A
$22,357
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow)

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026. The markets focus on determining the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official Ekstraklasa match results after regular time plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of cancellations and postponementsPrimary resolution logic: Official statistics from Ekstraklasa (https://ekstraklasa.org/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Postponements keep markets open until completed
  • Cancellations with no makeup game resolve based on specific market rules

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation with no makeup game: Kalshi resolves all outcomes as Yes. Polymarket resolves GKS Piast Gliwice win as No, Wieczysta Krakow win as No, and draw as Yes.
  • Extra time/penalties: Not considered for any market resolution - only regular time plus stoppage time counts
Timing: Within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between GKS Piast Gliwice and Wieczysta Krakow.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional Ekstraklasa soccer match between Gliwice and Wieczysta Krakow scheduled for August 15, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Gliwice win, Wieczysta Krakow win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specific outcome occurs within the specified time frame. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow match outcome market across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible result. It aggregates volume and recent trading trends from all participating platforms, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. The display updates in real time to reflect shifts in betting patterns, giving users a clear picture of where the market stands as the event approaches. With data drawn from live trading, it serves as a barometer for collective expectations around match performance and outcome probabilities.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse participant motivations and information sources. In this market, trader assessments incorporate real-time news, team form, and injury updates, sometimes leading to sharper or more volatile pricing than standard sportsbook odds. The gap can also reflect market-specific liquidity conditions — lower volume may amplify price swings. Comparing the two reveals how crowd-sourced forecasts diverge from institutional betting lines, offering alternative perspectives on expected match dynamics and outcomes.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user base, trading volume, and design parameters. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform may attract more sharp traders analyzing detailed statistics, while the other could reflect broader public sentiment. Volume disparities also play a role — a thinner market can magnify the impact of single trades, leading to wider fluctuations. These factors combined often produce divergent odds, giving traders multiple vantage points on the same event.