TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between GKS GieKSa Katowice and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MŠK Žilina match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between GKS GieKSa Katowice and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MŠK Žilina match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real capital at stake. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, particularly as match day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's consensus on the exact score differs from bookmaker pricing, though both sources carry uncertainty until the final whistle.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader activity and order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible exact score, and the cumulative positions determine the probability displayed for every outcome. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, though all scorelines remain tradable. Prices update in real time as new bets arrive, so you can enter or exit your position at any moment before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match between Katowice and Žilina is complete and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. All positions settle automatically once the result is confirmed, with winners receiving their payout based on the odds at which they traded. Early resolution is not possible; the market remains open for trading until the match ends and the score is officially recorded.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds on specific scorelines favored by each side's attacking or defensive strengths. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. Late-breaking developments such as managerial changes or unexpected roster moves may trigger sharp repricing. As kick-off approaches, traders often adjust positions based on final team sheets and pre-match analysis, so volatility typically increases in the hours before the match begins.