TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Girona and Albacete, scheduled for September 25, 2026. Participants can bet on whether Girona will win, Albacete will win, or the game will end in a tie after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Girona vs Albacete professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If Girona wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Girona' market resolves to Yes. If Albacete wins under the same conditions, the 'Albacete' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at forecasting the true probability of an event. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the Girona vs Albacete match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Girona vs Albacete match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to accurately predict the outcome and profit from correctly assessing the probability of each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Girona vs Albacete match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Girona, a win for Albacete, or a draw—occurs in the match, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders will be able to view the final result and their payouts on Kalshi after resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical approaches could also have a significant impact. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or broader trends in the league, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.