This event group covers a La Liga match between Girona FC and FC Barcelona scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi), goal totals at multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), spread betting, and both-teams-to-score (Polymarket).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same match, time window (90 min + stoppage), official source (laliga.com), and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, incomplete play).
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on laliga.com
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Match outcome (win/draw/loss) and all goal-based markets (totals, spreads, both-teams-to-score) settle on the official LaLiga final score
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Girona (-2.5) requires Girona win by 3+, Girona (-1.5) requires Girona win by 2+, Barcelona (-2.5) requires Barcelona win by 3+, Barcelona (-1.5) requires Barcelona win by 2+
Both-Teams-to-Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if canceled with no make-up, all markets resolve 50-50
If game starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published by LaLiga
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
Cancellation without make-up: All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
Incomplete match: Resolution uses the official final score published on laliga.com at the time of match termination
Extra time or penalties: These are explicitly excluded; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for all markets
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 16, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official LaLiga final score
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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