TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
kalshi
polymarket

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata

Volume:
$112,564

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$3,305
$25,665
N/A
N/A
$16,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,424
$21,589
N/A
N/A
$16,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Gimnasia La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,398
$15,619
N/A
N/A
$14,464
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,553
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$245,110
$17,572
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$23,566
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata and Estudiantes de La Plata scheduled for February 15, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/postponement rules, while Polymarket specifies differentiated outcomes: draw resolves Yes on cancellation, but win/loss markets resolve No. This creates asymmetric settlement risk across platforms.Hero tip: Monitor AFA official announcements for postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw backers win automatically while win/loss backers lose; Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Consider this asymmetry when comparing odds across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Treats all three match outcomes (tie, Gimnasia win, Estudiantes win) as Yes-resolving events. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Gimnasia win (Yes/No), draw (Yes/No), Estudiantes win (Yes/No). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to Yes but win/loss markets to No. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.