TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
Volume:
$112,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata and Estudiantes de La Plata scheduled for February 15, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/postponement rules, while Polymarket specifies differentiated outcomes: draw resolves Yes on cancellation, but win/loss markets resolve No. This creates asymmetric settlement risk across platforms.Hero Tip:
Monitor AFA official announcements for postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw backers win automatically while win/loss backers lose; Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Consider this asymmetry when comparing odds across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Treats all three match outcomes (tie, Gimnasia win, Estudiantes win) as Yes-resolving events. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Gimnasia win (Yes/No), draw (Yes/No), Estudiantes win (Yes/No). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to Yes but win/loss markets to No. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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