TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia
Volume:
$45,818
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata and CS Independiente Rivadavia scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi handle game cancellation differently. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA announcements for postponement vs. cancellation status. If canceled, Polymarket draw positions are protected (YES resolution), but Kalshi traders face undefined resolution. Request clarification from Kalshi support before the event date to avoid disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Gimnasia win and Rivadavia win markets resolve NO if canceled; draw market resolves YES if canceled. All three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No.'
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market covering all three outcomes (Rivadavia win, Gimnasia win, Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolves YES if any outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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