TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Gimcheon Sangmu and Bucheon meet in a Korea K League 1 professional soccer match scheduled for July 11, 2026. The result will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Gimcheon Sangmu vs Bucheon professional Korea K League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Gimcheon Sangmu win, Bucheon win, or tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which group of participants has better information or conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value, though each reflects distinct market dynamics rather than objective truth about the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability assigned by the last matched trade, and the spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on liquidity and conviction. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing prices to move. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view, and your execution price depends on available liquidity at that moment.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result recognized by relevant sports authorities. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new information, team news, or betting patterns influence trader expectations. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point all shares are settled according to the actual outcome.
Team news—such as player injuries, roster changes, or coaching decisions—can significantly shift prices as traders reassess competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings may also influence sentiment. Betting action and public commentary from analysts can trigger momentum in either direction. Weather conditions, venue factors, or last-minute lineup announcements closer to kickoff often spark sharp moves. Additionally, if one team secures a major result or faces unexpected circumstances in the days leading up to the match, traders will reprice their positions accordingly.