TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Jeju SK FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Jeju SK FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader consensus and real-money commitment. In this market, traders are directly wagering on the exact final score, which can produce sharper, more granular probabilities than traditional sportsbooks typically offer. Comparing the two reveals whether public betting sentiment on Polymarket aligns with professional oddsmakers' views. Prediction markets often react faster to new information, making them a useful barometer of informed opinion closer to kickoff.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously based on order flow, ensuring liquidity and preventing extreme price gaps. Each scoreline has its own contract, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. As traders gain confidence in a particular result—or as new information emerges—they accumulate shares in that outcome, pushing its price higher and all others lower. This decentralized pricing mechanism reflects the collective judgment of all active participants in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Gimcheon Sangmu FC versus Jeju SK FC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Whichever exact score option matches the official result will be marked correct, and all other outcomes will be marked incorrect. Traders holding shares in the winning scoreline receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from the league or official match records.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue can all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. Once the match begins, live action directly impacts probabilities: early goals, red cards, or momentum swings cause traders to reassess which exact scores remain plausible. Late-match developments, such as one team chasing an equalizer or defending a lead, narrow the range of probable outcomes. Close to resolution, only the most realistic final scores retain meaningful trading volume.