TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Korea K League 1 soccer match between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official result reported by KLeague.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 13, 2026, to see if this outcome holds as the game progresses.
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026: a win for Gimcheon Sangmu, a win for Gangwon, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market may reflect different information or weight different factors than sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for more granular betting options and can incorporate new information more rapidly, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. The volume traded on this market is $348,544.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Gimcheon Sangmu vs. Gangwon match can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, while lower volume may result in prices that are more susceptible to individual trades. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed.