TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995" if Bucheon FC 1995 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995" if Bucheon FC 1995 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial risk. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, creating stronger incentives to incorporate all available information about team performance, injuries, and tactical advantages. Over time, this market's odds may offer a more granular or contrarian view than conventional betting lines, especially if professional traders identify mispriced outcomes that casual bettors overlook.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing either team scoring first, and the price of each share adjusts based on supply and demand. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls, naturally balancing the book. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent pricing, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whichever team scores the opening goal in regular play. Once the event is confirmed through reliable match data, the market settles automatically, and traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout. No further action is required from participants after the final whistle.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key attacking players, unexpected lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp price movement as traders reassess scoring probability. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may also influence early-goal likelihood. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates can signal new information, prompting traders to reposition. Additionally, late money from professional bettors or sudden shifts in public sentiment can create volatility. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media closely in the hours leading up to the match for catalysts that could reshape this market's odds.