TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. For an exact-score market, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options, whereas prediction markets allow trading on every possible outcome. This granularity can reveal niche probabilities that bookmakers don't explicitly price, making them valuable for sophisticated bettors seeking alternative perspectives on match outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative belief of all participants; as more capital flows into a particular score, its implied probability rises. Liquidity providers and arbitrageurs help tighten spreads, while the platform's fee structure incentivizes active trading. Real-time price discovery ensures that odds adjust dynamically to new information, injuries, or lineup announcements leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Gimcheon versus Bucheon match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team during regular time. No overtime or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution. Traders should monitor official league records and match reports to confirm the final score before settlement is finalized on the platform.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can significantly shift odds for high-scoring or low-scoring outcomes. Lineup announcements and tactical changes announced by either manager may alter expectations around attacking intent. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader positioning. Additionally, betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into specific scorelines can create sudden price moves, signaling informed conviction. Public sentiment and media narratives about playoff implications or relegation stakes may also drive late-stage volatility as kickoff nears.