TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gillingham FC and Bristol Rovers FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gillingham FC" if Gillingham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bristol Rovers FC" if Bristol Rovers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Gillingham FC and Bristol Rovers FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gillingham FC" if Gillingham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bristol Rovers FC" if Bristol Rovers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to score first, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value proposition than what you might find at a sportsbook. It's a way to gauge public sentiment and potentially identify discrepancies in perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a constantly updating forecast for which team will score first.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Gillingham FC versus Bristol Rovers FC match. Official match data and records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on whether the outcome aligns with the purchased shares. It’s important to note that the official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, is what dictates the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key attacking players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.