TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Volume:
$1,779,497
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Portuguese Liga Portugal match between Gil Vicente FC (also known as Vicente Barcelos) and Sport Lisboa e Benfica scheduled for March 2, 2026. Three binary markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Benfica wins, whether Gil Vicente wins, and whether the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: outcome determined by official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Liga Portugal official match records (https://www.ligaportugal.pt/)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the official score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Benfica victory, Gil Vicente victory, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Benfica win market resolves No, Gil Vicente win market resolves No, draw market resolves Yes
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on the rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Win markets (Benfica, Gil Vicente) resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
- Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not apply
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 2, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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