TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca
kalshi
polymarket

Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca

Volume:
$79,006

Draw (Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,027
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Alverca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gil Vicente FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alverca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,933
N/A
N/A
$5,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Vicente Barcelos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,491
N/A
N/A
$1,419
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Liga Portugal professional soccer match between Gil Vicente FC (Vicente Barcelos) and FC Alverca scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, including win/loss/draw scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket has conflicting cancellation logic between its draw and win markets, creating asymmetric settlement risk.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market as currently documented—it cannot resolve consistently. On Polymarket, the draw market and win markets have opposite cancellation outcomes. If you are long the draw, a cancellation pays you; if you are long a win, it pays against you. Confirm match status with ligaportugal.pt within 2 hours of scheduled end time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure is logically impossible. All three outcomes (Vicente win, Tie, Alverca win) are coded to resolve to Yes. This violates basic mutual exclusivity and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Vicente Barcelos wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Alverca wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with conflicting cancellation rules. Draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation; Win markets resolve No on full cancellation. Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Quote (Win): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.