Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga Portugal statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Match resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
Gil Vicente FC win market resolves Yes if Gil Vicente wins, No otherwise
Casa Pia AC win market resolves Yes if Casa Pia wins, No otherwise
Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Gil Vicente and Casa Pia win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; no automatic resolution occurs
Delayed official statistics: If Liga Portugal does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources
Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on April 27, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of match end
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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