TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 27 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 27 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome in the Gibraltar vs. Andorra match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gibraltar vs. Andorra match, as determined by the governing football association. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result, and the data will be archived for future analysis of prediction accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.