TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 6:38 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-19 14:00 UTC: if Karmine Corp wins the series, the market will resolve to "Karmine Corp"; if GIANTX wins the series, the market will resolve to "GIANTX". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-19 14:00 UTC: if Karmine Corp wins the series, the market will resolve to "Karmine Corp"; if GIANTX wins the series, the market will resolve to "GIANTX". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. This market aggregates the collective forecast of many participants, which can sometimes identify value that sportsbooks miss. Comparing the two reveals where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely winner, offering perspective on consensus strength.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time probability that outcome will occur, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As new information emerges—team roster changes, recent performance, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to fresh signals right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning prediction is determined by which team emerges victorious in the esports competition. No ambiguity exists in esports match outcomes—one team wins and the other does not—making resolution straightforward. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized and the market settles.
Several catalysts could shift trader sentiment before the match begins. Roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute substitutions often trigger sharp price moves as the community reassesses team strength. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between the teams influence confidence levels. Pre-match interviews, coaching changes, or leaked strategy discussions can also sway the odds. Closer to Jul 19, 2026, warm-up performance and betting patterns from professional esports analysts may accelerate momentum in either direction, creating trading opportunities for those monitoring the market closely.