TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 11:03 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-23 18:00 UTC: if Twisted Minds Orchid wins the series, the market will resolve to "Twisted Minds Orchid"; if GIANTX GC wins the series, the market will resolve to "GIANTX GC". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-23 18:00 UTC: if Twisted Minds Orchid wins the series, the market will resolve to "Twisted Minds Orchid"; if GIANTX GC wins the series, the market will resolve to "GIANTX GC". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of many independent traders competing for profit. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader positioning. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current supply and demand for each team's contract, and prices update in real time as new trades execute. Traders profit by correctly predicting the match result, and the market price converges toward the true outcome probability as new information emerges and the event date approaches.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which team won. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing may shift slightly if the match is postponed or rescheduled.
Several factors can shift odds before the match concludes. Roster changes, player injuries, or roster announcements for either team may alter perceived strength. Recent tournament performance, scrim results, or public statements from coaches and players can influence trader sentiment. Meta shifts in the game itself, patch updates, or map pool changes may favor one team's playstyle. As the event date approaches, accumulating betting action and shifting trader conviction will drive price movement, with major swings often occurring closer to kickoff.