TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Giana Erminio and Folgore Caratese in the Round 1 of the Coppa Italia Lega Pro. The result determines which team progresses to the next stage of the tournament. It reflects the competitive performance of both teams in this specific encounter.
The event has two primary rules corresponding to each team's potential advancement from the match. If Giana Erminio advances past Folgore Caratese, the first market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Folgore Caratese advances past Giana Erminio, the second market resolves to Yes. Both rules apply to the same soccer tie in the Round 1 of the Coppa Italia Lega Pro, ensuring that exactly one of the markets will resolve to Yes based on the match outcome. The secondary rules clarify that any references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, often showing sharper movements than sportsbook odds, which incorporate broader public betting patterns and house margins. While sportsbooks may offer rounded probabilities, this market provides a more granular view shaped by active participants. Traders can use this market to gauge focused interest versus the general public's expectations, potentially identifying value differences between the two pricing models.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect the officially recorded match winner or draw, closing all positions based on what actually transpires on the field that day.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts, or last-minute coaching changes could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Any public polling, expert analysis, or recent head-to-head performance updates may also sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, even minor news can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi based on how participants interpret new risks or advantages.