TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ghana will defeat Panama by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup soccer matchup. On Kalshi, Panama wins by over 1.5 goals is priced at 1.0%, while Ghana wins by over 1.5 goals is also at 1.0%. The resolution source is the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Ghana vs Panama game. Watch the match on June 17, 2026, to see which team achieves a decisive victory margin.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The market covers four outcomes: Ghana wins by more than 2.5 goals, Ghana wins by more than 1.5 goals, Panama wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Panama wins by more than 2.5 goals. A tie or a win by a smaller margin would result in a No resolution for each respective outcome.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect margins; prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants with direct financial stakes. For Ghana vs Panama, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads reveals whether the crowd expects a tighter or wider margin than oddsmakers have posted. This gap can signal value or consensus shifts as match day approaches.
On Kalshi, Ghana vs Panama: Spread is priced as a binary or range contract reflecting the final goal differential or point spread at full-time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to whether the spread outcome will occur, with contract value tied directly to the resolution criteria. Prices move continuously as new information arrives—team news, injury reports, or betting flow—and reflect the collective forecast of all active traders. Kalshi's transparent order book shows bid-ask spreads and cumulative volume, allowing you to assess liquidity and entry costs for your position.
The Ghana vs Panama: Spread market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. The outcome is determined by the final spread or goal differential recorded at full-time, according to the official match result. No extra time or penalty shootout outcomes factor into the resolution unless the contract terms explicitly state otherwise. Once the final whistle sounds and the official score is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to winning traders based on their positions.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head history, and betting flow from sharp money. Weather conditions at kickoff—wind, rain, or extreme heat—can influence scoring patterns and margin outcomes. Tactical adjustments or coaching changes announced before the match may shift expectations around Ghana's attacking or defensive setup. Social media sentiment, analyst predictions, and late-breaking news about player availability will likely trigger repricing as traders update their forecasts. Close to match time, final odds from major sportsbooks often trigger rapid market adjustments.