TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Getafe vs Santander: Spread
kalshi
opinion

What is the result of Getafe vs Santander?

Volume:
$91,899

Santander wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Santander wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santander wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,921
N/A
N/A
$35,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Getafe wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,483
N/A
N/A
$21,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Santander wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,384
N/A
N/A
$7,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Getafe wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,112
N/A
N/A
$6,238
Settled
No
opinion

Getafe wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Racing Santander wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Draw

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Getafe vs Santander soccer match, with markets focused on different aspects of the result including win conditions and spread outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence between outcome-based resolution (Opinion) and threshold-based resolution (Kalshi)Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform hedging without adjusting for the spread threshold differences. Focus on one platform's logic when trading

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves based on simple win/draw outcomes: 'Resolves Yes if Getafe wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable'
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on goal-difference thresholds: 'If Getafe wins by more than 2.5 goals... resolves to Yes' and similar for other threshold conditions
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Getafe or Santander wins the professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for August 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. A market resolves to Yes if Getafe wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Santander wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi has no official connection to the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Opinion

This market refers to the La Liga match between Getafe (GET) and Racing Santander (SAN), scheduled for 2026-08-23 17:30 UTC. - GET: If Getafe wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - SAN: If Racing Santander wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both GET and SAN options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and odds based on their models, prediction markets price outcomes dynamically through trading activity. This often leads to tighter spreads and more nuanced pricing, especially as new information emerges. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value or shifts in public perception ahead of the match.

On Kalshi and Opinion, pricing models and user bases vary, creating divergence. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, differences in how each platform’s community evaluates team form, injury updates, or historical match data can push probabilities apart. Also, liquidity levels and fee structures influence where prices settle, meaning even small shifts in trader sentiment on one venue may not match the other’s outlook.