TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Getafe and Partizan Belgrade, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event resolves based on specific goal-difference thresholds for each team's win.
The event evaluates different goal-margin scenarios in the Getafe vs Partizan Belgrade Conference League match scheduled for August 20, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Getafe winning by more than 2.5 goals, Getafe winning by more than 1.5 goals, Partizan Belgrade winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Partizan Belgrade winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The event uses these varied thresholds to offer multiple perspectives on the potential dominance of either team in the match. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through their bids and offers, creating a liquid market that reflects real-time expectations. The current probability indicates how participants value the likelihood of each outcome occurring. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments based on new data, such as injuries or strategic shifts, leading to potentially sharp movements in the odds. With a volume of $26,381 and 24-hour volume of $21,504, the market demonstrates active participation from traders assessing the contest’s trajectory.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the defined spread to determine which side of the market was correct. As long as the match goes off as scheduled and the result is publicly reported, the market will settle automatically based on that official data.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could all shift expectations for the match and move this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or large trades on Kalshi can cause price adjustments. As the event draws nearer, updated polls, expert analysis, and even minor tactical revelations may influence trader sentiment and lead to volatility in the market odds.