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Germany vs. Paraguay - Second Half Result
kalshi
polymarket

What is the second half result of Germany vs Paraguay?

Volume:
$2,455,262

Germany wins 2nd Half

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Germany wins 2nd Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$453,304
N/A
N/A
$330,550
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Paraguay wins 2nd Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,165,626
N/A
N/A
$974,832
Settled
No
polymarket

Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie 2nd Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$732,237
N/A
N/A
$532,222
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the second-half outcome of the Germany vs. Paraguay FIFA World Cup match, specifically which team will score more goals during the second 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability that Germany wins the second half stands at 94.0%. The market resolves based on official FIFA World Cup match records following the conclusion of the second half on June 29, 2026. Watch for team lineups and tactical adjustments announced shortly before kickoff, as these often signal offensive or defensive positioning that could influence second-half scoring patterns.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria state that Yes resolves if Germany wins, Yes if Paraguay wins, or Yes if Tie occurs—meaning every possible outcome triggers Yes. This is a logical contradiction that renders the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard three-way outcome (Germany/Draw/Paraguay) with coherent, mutually exclusive conditions.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether this is a data entry error or a Yes/No market with a missing baseline condition.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Germany wins second half, Yes if Paraguay wins second half, or Yes if Tie occurs. Every possible outcome maps to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Germany is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Paraguay is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Germany if Germany scores more goals in second half, Draw if equal goals, Paraguay if Paraguay scores more. Uses official governing body statistics as primary source, credible reporting consensus as fallback. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Germany if Germany score more goals than Paraguay in the second half... This market will resolve to Draw if Germany and Paraguay score the same number of goals... This market will resolve to Paraguay if Paraguay score more goals than Germany.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Paraguay in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Germany and Paraguay score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team scores more goals during the second half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026. Only goals scored during the second half count toward this market. Germany wins the second half if it scores more goals than Paraguay; Paraguay wins the second half if it scores more goals than Germany. If no goals are scored during the second half or both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, often adjusting for sharp money and public betting patterns. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader capital and conviction—prices emerge from continuous buy-sell dynamics without a house margin built in. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge from major sportsbooks because traders are pricing based on their own research, model outputs, and real-time information flow. Comparing this market to a sportsbook can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders see value relative to traditional betting lines.