TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns whether both Germany and Paraguay will score at least one goal each during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in their FIFA World Cup match. The core binary outcome is BTTS (Both Teams To Score) during normal play, excluding extra time and penalties.
If Germany and Paraguay both score a goal in the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Panama and England score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 27, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Limitless and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics, order-book depths, or promotional activity at any given moment. Timing lags in information flow between platforms can create temporary arbitrage opportunities. Additionally, each venue's user base may weight the same underlying factors—team form, injury news, historical BTTS rates—differently, leading to persistent price gaps. Monitoring both simultaneously reveals which platform is pricing this outcome more efficiently.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defenders, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically drives significant price swings. Recent form, head-to-head history, and BTTS trends in both teams' recent matches are closely watched. Weather conditions on match day can affect scoring patterns and goalkeeper performance. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move the line in the final hours before kickoff, signaling where informed traders see value. Live updates during the match itself will shift prices dramatically as goals are scored or as time runs out, making early-market positioning crucial for traders seeking favorable entry points.