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406,065

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30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Germany vs. Paraguay?

Volume:
$31,472,490

O/U 1.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$601,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$498,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$294,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$269,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$179,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paraguay O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$158,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$134,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Team to Advance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,740,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,827,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,082,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

GER

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,065
$2,283,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,759
$891,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paraguay (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$634,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$567,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$538,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
$33,089
$529,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks whether the FIFA World Cup match between Germany and Paraguay will require a penalty shootout to determine a winner. Across Predict and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability that the match will go to penalties. Resolution will be based on official FIFA statistics as recognized by the governing body, or credible reporting consensus if official data is not published within 2 hours after the match concludes. Watch for the final whistle on June 29, 2026, when the match outcome will be confirmed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply the same primary resolution source (official FIFA statistics), identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), and consistent fallback logic (2-hour window, then consensus reporting). Cancellation and postponement rules are harmonized across all market types.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of FIFA as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if not published within 2 hours after event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (win/draw/loss) determined by official final score within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Goal totals (Over/Under) count only goals scored in the specified time period (full match, first half, or second half as applicable)
  • Spreads resolve based on goal differential: Germany wins by N+ goals or Paraguay wins by N+ goals as specified in each market
  • Both-teams-to-score markets require each team to score at least one goal in the specified period (full match, first half, or second half)
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all markets
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Market remains open until the game has been completed; resolution occurs once the match is played and official statistics are available
  • Game Cancellation Without Makeup: Match outcome markets (Paraguay win, Germany win) resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes; Over/Under and spread markets resolve 50-50
  • Delayed Official Publication: If FIFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after event conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead
  • Incomplete Match: If game is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score as published by FIFA for the portion played
  • First Half vs Second Half Specificity: Markets explicitly labeled for first half or second half resolve only on goals scored in that specific 45-minute period plus applicable stoppage time
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official FIFA statistics are published (target within 2 hours of final whistle). Markets remain open during postponements and settle only once the match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 29, 2026 between Germany and Paraguay.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading where participants directly set prices through supply and demand. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because prediction markets often reflect longer-term sentiment and attract sophisticated bettors, whereas sportsbooks adjust rapidly to manage risk. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can highlight where public perception and professional oddsmaking diverge most sharply.

Polymarket and Predict employ distinct market structures and participant bases, leading to pricing variations. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket uses a different order-matching or liquidity model than Predict, which may result in different fee structures, slippage, and speed of price discovery. Additionally, each platform attracts traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, so consensus on this market can lag or lead across venues. Monitoring both simultaneously helps identify temporary mispricings and reveals which platform's participants hold stronger conviction on the outcome.

Key injury announcements, team lineup confirmations, and recent form updates typically drive significant repricing in this market. Pre-match press conferences, weather conditions at the venue, and betting-exchange volume spikes can all signal shifting trader conviction. Historical head-to-head records and qualification-stage performance may also influence sentiment as the match approaches. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one platform before the other often precedes broader market moves, so tracking volume and price velocity across Polymarket and Predict can reveal early signals of consensus shifts.