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Germany vs. Paraguay - Exact Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the final score of Germany vs. Paraguay?

Volume:
$12,185,190

Reg Time: Draw 1-1

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 6:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Draw 1-1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$506,198
N/A
N/A
$265,276
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$308,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,490,851
N/A
N/A
$1,105,911
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039,551
N/A
N/A
$768,189
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$709,530
N/A
N/A
$655,035
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$703,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Paraguay wins 2-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$463,664
N/A
N/A
$379,845
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Paraguay wins 2-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$341,994
N/A
N/A
$319,472
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 3-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$413,584
N/A
N/A
$383,662
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$398,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Paraguay wins 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301,555
N/A
N/A
$247,359
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 4-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374,207
N/A
N/A
$306,114
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 1-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228,147
N/A
N/A
$206,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Draw 0-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$249,492
N/A
N/A
$212,885
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228,795
N/A
N/A
$194,383
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Germany wins 4-0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187,096
N/A
N/A
$166,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Draw 2-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$169,004
N/A
N/A
$135,731
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Intro

This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between Germany and Paraguay on June 29, 2026. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a 1-1 draw stands at 100.0%, with a 2-0 Germany victory at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, based on the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. Watch the match kickoff on June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET to see how the actual scoreline compares to market expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a comprehensive 'Any Other Score' catch-all option covering all possible scorelines, while Kalshi lists only 26 specific scorelines without an explicit mechanism for handling scores outside this set.Hero tip: For the 26 scorelines covered by both platforms (Germany 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, 2-1, 3-2, 0-0, 1-1, 3-3, 2-2, 1-0, 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 2-3, Paraguay 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, 4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 4-3, 5-0, 5-1, 5-2, 6-0, 6-1, 7-0), resolution will be identical. For any other scoreline, Polymarket resolves to 'Any Other Score' YES, but Kalshi's resolution is undefined—contact Kalshi support or check their official clarification before trading rare outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Comprehensive coverage with 18 specific exact score markets plus 'Any Other Score' as a residual category. Explicitly states: 'If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to Any Other Score.' This ensures every possible scoreline has a defined resolution path.
  • Kalshi: Offers 26 individual binary YES/NO markets on specific scorelines only (e.g., Germany 3-0, Paraguay 2-0, 1-1 draw, etc.). No catch-all or residual category is mentioned in the provided rules, creating ambiguity for scores outside the 26 listed outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final score of the Germany vs Paraguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. Each possible regulation time correct score outcome—including draws, Paraguay victories, and Germany victories across various goal differentials—resolves to Yes if that exact final score is achieved. The market encompasses all scorelines from 0-0 draws through high-scoring results, with Germany winning outcomes ranging from 1-0 to 7-0, Paraguay winning outcomes from 1-0 to 3-2, and draw outcomes from 0-0 to 3-3.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced probability rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders stake capital directly on outcomes, creating incentives for accurate pricing without the built-in vig that sportsbooks charge. This market's odds reflect aggregated trader conviction in real time, often diverging from conventional betting lines because participants include sharp bettors, casual forecasters, and those with specialized knowledge. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal mispricings or consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity pools, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's fee structure, user interface, and marketing also shape which outcomes attract volume. Arbitrage traders typically narrow such gaps, but temporary spreads can persist if one platform attracts more informed flow on a particular scoreline or if liquidity is thin. Monitoring both venues reveals where conviction is strongest.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp repricing, especially for key players. Betting market movement on external sportsbooks can signal informed flow entering this market. Pre-match analysis, coaching decisions, and weather conditions may also shift trader sentiment. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as venue changes or official confirmations of squad composition often drive volatility. Monitoring both platforms simultaneously helps catch these moves early.