TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Germany vs. Mali
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Germany vs. Mali?

Volume:
$179,286

Germany

 - Kalshi

Germany - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 1:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Germany

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,388
N/A
N/A
$63,387
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Germany vs. Mali

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mali

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,558
N/A
N/A
$45,280
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a FIBA Women's World Cup basketball game between Germany and Mali. The markets resolve to either Germany winning or Mali winning the game, based on the final score including overtime. Resolution depends on the game being completed; cancellation or postponement affects resolution timing.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Both platforms resolve to 'Yes' if either team wins, but Polymarket specifies *which* team, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Be cautious about taking strong positions. The Kalshi market effectively doubles the probability of a 'Yes' outcome, potentially creating mispricing relative to Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Germany or Mali) explicitly. Includes rules for postponement and cancellation (50-50 split).
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Germany or Mali wins, lacking specificity about which team. No mention of postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 7 at 11:50AM ET: If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany". If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the official game result for the Mali vs Germany women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball match scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 11:50 AM EDT. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Germany vs. Mali match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for one particular result. Total volume across both venues is $179,286, with $176,997 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match's outcome and profit from correctly anticipating the result. The dashboard aggregates data from both Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade, leading to a more fluid and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities. This market’s odds may differ from sportsbooks due to varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among participants, and the incentive structure of each venue. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.